Mike's Railroad Crossing Forum

First Tornado Warning...

TORNADO WARNING
TXC267-100130-
/O.NEW.KSJT.TO.W.0001.130310T0105Z-130310T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
705 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL KIMBLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM CST

* AT 701 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LONDON...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
JUNCTION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS...OTHER HAZARDS INCLUDE...
POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
LONDON BY 720 PM CST...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 450 AND 460.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST
SATURDAY EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3058 9981 3072 9958 3071 9956 3059 9948
3049 9948 3043 9971
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 239DEG 29KT 3056 9966

$$

BTW, I now hide my online status.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1101 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

TXC309-100530-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130310T0530Z/
MCLENNAN TX-
1101 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTY...

AT 1101 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WOODWAY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BEVERLY HILLS AND ROBINSON AROUND 1110 PM CST...

LAT...LON 3128 9738 3129 9739 3140 9740 3152 9739
3166 9734 3176 9724 3138 9708 3127 9731
TIME...MOT...LOC 0501Z 258DEG 34KT 3153 9724

$$

SPC AC 101606

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN A SEPARATE BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS CANADA...ONE VIGOROUS
SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF
NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO...AWAY FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS CLOSED LOW...
WHICH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING IN A MORE AMPLIFIED
BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM...ANOTHER STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO
DIG TOWARD THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...AND MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION
OF THE CLOSED LOW TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
OVER THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY IS FORECAST TO REDEVELOP
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY LATE TONIGHT. A
TRAILING SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD SURGE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY SOMETIME LATE THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT...OVERTAKING AN
INITIAL WEAK COLD FRONT GENERATED BY OVERNIGHT CONVECTION...WHICH IS
ALREADY BEGINNING TO ADVANCE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT
THE SAME TIME...UPPER TROUGHING TRAILING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
MID-LEVEL LOW APPEARS LIKELY TO TAKE ON MORE OF A NEUTRAL TILT AS IT
PIVOTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY.

...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
THE LATEST MODEL AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA DO NOT OFFER MUCH IN THE WAY
OF ANY GREATER CERTAINTY CONCERNING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TODAY.
A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY DOES APPEAR TO EXIST FOR WEAK
DESTABILIZATION ALONG A NARROW AXIS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
COASTAL AREAS NORTHWARD ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...THROUGH AT
LEAST THE NATCHEZ/VICKSBURG AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS MAY
ROUGHLY COINCIDE WITH THE SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET AXIS...BUT GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE STRONGER JET CORE WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF
SHIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. FLOW COULD STILL
REMAIN AS STRONG AS 30-50 KTS...HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WITH HEIGHT...ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO SHRINKING
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH SIZE. MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION ALSO REMAINS AN UNCERTAINTY DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION. UPPER FLOW IS AT LEAST WEAKLY
DIFLUENT ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...BUT FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH AN INITIAL IMPULSE PIVOTING AROUND THE CENTRAL
PLAINS CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO GENERALLY SHIFT NORTH OF THE
REGION DURING THE DAY...WHILE STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPSTREAM IMPULSE DO NOT OCCUR UNTIL AFTER DARK.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING/MOISTENING ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE OF MID-LEVEL COOLING /AROUND 700 MB/...AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE EASTWARD ADVANCING SURFACE COLD POOL...COULD CONTRIBUTE TO
THE REGENERATION OF A NARROW LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ROUGHLY BY THE
20-22Z TIME FRAME. IF THIS OCCURS ...SOME RISK FOR POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY EXIST... MAINLY DUE TO DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSFER. BUT THE SEVERE THREAT STILL SEEMS TOO MARGINAL/UNCERTAIN
FOR SLIGHT RISK PROBABILITIES AT THE PRESENT TIME.

I have to wait another long time for severe weather... There is a 20% chance of bad weather on Monday and Tuesday...That could change.

Awww... darn. I so wanted to read another 5 pages of weather bulletins that have nothing to do with the area I live in.

cabman701 wrote:Awww... darn. I so wanted to read another 5 pages of weather bulletins that have nothing to do with the area I live in.

I know.

To our east...

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
137 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

LAC067-181915-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-130318T1915Z/
MOREHOUSE LA-
137 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH...

AT 137 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
JONES MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH AT 150 PM CDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL. SEEK
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS STORM. HAIL OF TENNIS BALL SIZED OR
LARGER CAUSES EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO CARS AND BUILDINGS...INCLUDING
POSSIBLY BREAKING OUT WINDOWS. PEOPLE CAUGHT OUT OF DOORS COULD
SUFFER SERIOUS INJURY. MOVE INTO A WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDING...AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 9179 3300 9173 3301 9156 3300 9144
3298 9144 3294 9148 3289 9150 3287 9153
3288 9154 3285 9157 3290 9179
TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 289DEG 31KT 3299 9170

$$

CME

I'm going to watch this storm.

TORNADO WARNING
ARC003-017-LAC067-123-181930-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0045.130318T1842Z-130318T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
142 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
NORTHERN WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WILMOT...
SOUTHWESTERN CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 142 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR JONES
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OAK GROVE BY 205 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
BASEBALL SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3307 9168 3304 9124 3301 9125 3300 9127
3298 9127 3297 9128 3296 9127 3294 9131
3288 9131 3286 9134 3281 9134 3289 9174
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 284DEG 33KT 3297 9164

$$

CME

Here's the 7-day forecast.

7-DAY FORECAST
This Afternoon Sunny, with a high near 69. North wind around 15 mph.
Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east after midnight.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
Friday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 73. East wind around 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 56.
Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71.
Saturday Night A 30 percent chance of rain and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221130-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1155 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...
IN ADDITION TO THE ONGOING SCATTERED SHOWERS...ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP ALONG AHEAD OF A DRYLINE IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST AND MAY AFFECT
LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT.

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM CLARKSVILLE TEXAS...TO TEXARKANA...TO PRESCOTT
ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND
AS A SURFACE LOW AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS THE
REGION. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

RAIN CHANCES WILL RAPIDLY END BY SUNDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MOVES THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONT
EAST OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20
BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

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